Elections 2010 - RightCondition predictions


Here are my predictions for November, 2010 elections.  Incumbents marked with an asterisk.

Massachusetts

This will be the most disappointing of all for me and for many watching the congressional races.

Governor - Deval Patrick*
Auditor - Mary Z.
Treasurer - Karen Polito
Attorney General - Coakley*
Beacon Hill - Will get several more Republicans making a slight dent in the one party rule
Question 1 - Fail
Question 2 - Fail
Question 3 - Fail (this one will hurt)

All Congressional races will be retained by the incumbents, some will be the closest in decades, but incumbency is a tough thing to shake.  Yeah that is right, it is 2010 and MA will send 9 old Democrats and 1 new Democrat to DC.

House

The Republicans will pick up a net total of 54 seats.  This will certainly be a tidal wave, but many are overstating the impact.   Some of the painful ones will of course be MA-4, as the most watched House race of 2010.  On the bright side, Pelosi will lose her speakership and most very likely will retire from Congress altogether bringing an end to one of the most frustrating, liberal and non-transparent House of Representatives in history.

Senate (pickups in Red)

Alaska - Joe Miller (by 6 points)
Washington - Patty Murray* (few points)
California - Barbara Boxer*
Nevada - Sharron Angle (few points)
Colorado - Ken Buck
Illinois - Mark Kirk (a bigger RINO will be hard to find)
Wisconsin - Johnson (by 7 points)
Kentucky - Rand Paul (blowout)
West Virginia - Joe Manchin (Byrd's seat)*
Delaware - Chris Coons (Biden's seat)*
New Hampshire - Kelly Ayotte
Florida - Marco Rubio

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